By Ethereum price may rally amid shrinking Binance supply
Shrinking exchange balances on Binance suggest Ethereum holders are pulling coins off the market, a move that could tighten supply and set the stage for next rally.
Summary
- Ethereum price is at $4,330, consolidating just under $4,400 after a late August peak.
- Binance’s Ethereum supply ratio fell from 0.041 to 0.037, suggesting reduced sell pressure.
- Ethereum’s chart shows consolidation, with key resistance at $4,480 and support at $4,240 shaping the next move.
At the time of writing, Ethereum (ETH) was down 0.9% for the day at $4,330. The asset peaked at $4,946 in late August and has been consolidating just below $4,400. Ethereum’s structure is intact despite the slight decline, and on-chain data points to a potential tightening of sell-side liquidity.
Exchange balances show decline
According to a Sept. 4 analysis by CryptoQuant contributor Arab Chain, Ethereum’s Exchange Supply Ratio on Binance, the largest holder of ETH among exchanges, dropped sharply between mid-August and early September. The ratio slid from 0.041 to below 0.037 in just two weeks, marking the steepest decline in the observed period.
What sets the decline apart is the absence of a significant price correction. Ethereum stayed steady at $4,400 even as coins left Binance wallets, suggesting that investors are increasingly moving their assets into self-custody rather than keeping them available for trading.
Such actions have historically been a sign of market confidence. Because there is less ETH available for immediate sale, lower exchange balances reduce potential sell pressure. Combined with stable prices, this pattern often occurs before a shift into a new bullish phase.
Ethereum price technical analysis
Ethereum’s daily chart shows the price consolidating following its August peak. The narrowing Bollinger Bands indicate low volatility and a possible breakout.
Momentum readings are balanced. The relative strength index, at 51, is neutral while the MACD is slightly bearish. The larger uptrend is maintained by the strong support at $4,240.
While the short-term signals of the 10- and 20-day moving averages point to weakness, the 30-, 50-, 100-, and 200-day moving averages all lean bullish, reflecting consistent long-term strength.
Ethereum may target $4,600 if it can overcome resistance at $4,480. If selling pressure increases, a deeper correction is likely. Failure to hold above $4,240 could open a move toward $4,050.
